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One of the contributing factors to the development of program evaluation as a profession has been an interest in learning whether the efforts of social interventions, programs, and other types of innovations had the impact purported by designers. In other words, funding agencies, politicians, and citizens want to know whether program efforts make a difference. What were the results of the investments of time and money? Did the programs accomplish what planners proposed? Were the results achieved intended? What kind of a difference did the program or intervention make and why does it matter? All of these are common questions about outcomes.

Outcomes are often expressed as short-, medium-, and long-term outcomes. Long-term outcomes are sometimes referred to as impact. The time frame associated with what constitutes short-, medium-, and long-term outcomes varies and is often clarified in evaluation documents. In some cases, for example, a short-term outcome may be expected within 1–3 months, with medium-term outcomes expected in 3–6 months. In many cases, the long-term outcomes represent the ultimate change desired and can be expected years later, sometimes outside of the proposed time frame for the program.

This entry examines the various elements and criteria of outcomes in relation to program evaluation and describes how outcomes differ from outputs, indicators, and goals. Next, how outcomes are used in the steps of program evaluation are reviewed, including developing and framing the evaluation and conducting data analysis and interpretation. Finally, the entry concludes by looking at complexity models and other current issues related to outcomes.

Outcomes and Program Evaluation

The focus on outcomes in program planning and evaluation has been shaped by a number of social, cultural, economic, and political forces. Not only are those who design and implement a program concerned about outcomes, but funding agencies, community partners, government officials, and the participants themselves are also interested in the merit, worth, and ultimate results of a program intervention. As previously suggested, one impetus has been a focus on accountability and an interest in the degree to which intended results have been realized through program efforts and investments. From an accountability perspective, a focus on outcomes helps to answer the question of whether funds have been put to good use and if the program warranted the investment of time and money it was given. By examining outcomes, a program evaluation is able to assess whether a program accomplished what it promised to achieve.

Another impetus behind the focus on outcomes has been an interest in effective program design and a deeper understanding of how particular strategies can lead to particular desired results. Part of the work of articulating outcomes includes ensuring that there is a shared understanding of the relationship between activities or strategies and results achieved. With a theory of how the program is intended to work made clear, it is possible to better understand which program elements are critical, the level of investment needed, or perhaps where a program has or could falter or fail.

Most notably, a focus on outcomes is often synonymous with a focus on measurement. Indeed, the use of the term outcomes is commonly qualified by authors of funding proposals and program guides as measurable outcomes. The focus on being measurable emphasizes the point that the value of outcomes is beyond that of an organizing principle or guide. The usefulness of an outcome lies in one’s ability to measure a program’s progress toward this desired result. Using credible data to measure the degree to which outcomes have been achieved has been seen as critical to effective program improvement, important for informing training and resource allocation, significant in determining future funding and expansion possibilities, and often necessary to the sustainability of program efforts. Sustained evaluation of outcomes across time or program sites leads to greater confidence in the particular activities and strategies chosen as contributing to the types of results desired.

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