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The term latent class (LC) analysis refers to a class of statistical analyses that use the LC model to explain the associations among a set of observed variables. The LC models are advantageous generally because they bring in unobserved (latent) categorical variables, each category of which is defined as a subgroup. Thus, in LC models, the associations among observed variables are explained by the relationships between the latent categorical variables and each observed variable. LC models have been used in many applications in statistical analysis, such as clustering, diagnostic classification, density estimation, and dealing with unobserved heterogeneity. Further, LC models assume that observations within each subgroup are generated from an independent random process, and therefore, the distribution of overall observations can be seen as a mixture of the distribution of observations from each subgroup. In this sense, LC models are more generally referred to as finite mixture models.

This entry begins with a brief review of the history of LC analysis. Then, it introduces two approaches (i.e., probabilistic and log-linear) in parameterizing LC models. Further, the entry focuses on the basic methods for model estimation and model evaluation.

History of LC Analysis

The interest in LC models can be traced back to the late 19th century, when American philosopher Charles Sanders Peirce discussed the use of a latent structure model in measuring the success of prediction. However, the formal use of LC models in statistical analysis began in the 1950s, as Paul Lazarsfeld first applied LC models to clustering analysis. In 1974, Leo Goodman extended LC analysis to dealing with observed polytomous variables and multiple latent variables. Moreover, Goodman’s work on model estimation and identification greatly boosted the application of LC analysis in a number of different areas. In the 1990s, a general framework for categorical data analysis with discrete latent variables was proposed by Jacques Hagenaars. Ever since, LC models were extended to the settings that involve continuous covariates, ordinal variables, and longitudinal data.

LC Model

A basic LC model includes two types of categorical variables: observed categorical variables and latent categorical variables. This section introduces two approaches in parameterizing the LC model: probabilistic and log-linear. As an illustrative example, consider a hypothetical test designed to measure students’ mathematical ability in four areas (attributes): addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division. Students’ performance in each area is categorized as either “mastery” or “nonmastery.” The test consists of 20 multiple-choice items with each attribute being measured by 5 items. As such, in this case, there are 4 binary latent variables and 20 binary observed variables. This hypothetical test represents the application of LC models in diagnostic classification. The primary goal of diagnostic classification models is to classify respondents according to multiple latent characteristics representing the knowledge state of a respondent.

Probabilistic Parameterization

Let Xi represent the ith element of attribute (latent variable) vector X, and Yl the lth elements of item (observed variable) vector Y, where 1 ≤ iN, and 1 ≤ lL. In this case, N = 4, L = 20. Further, let Cj be the jth class of the LC vector C (as shown in Table 1), where 1 ≤ j2N, and y a complete response pattern. Then, the probability of obtaining the response pattern y, p (Y = y), can be expressed as the sum of the weighted class-specific probabilities, p (Y = y | X = Cj).

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