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Flynn Effect

The Flynn effect represents the secular increase in average scores on measures of intelligence. Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray coined the term Flynn effect in The Bell Curve for James R. Flynn’s documentation and study of the tendency of intelligence quotient (IQ) scores to increase over time. IQ scores have increased by an average of 3 points per decade on conventional IQ tests since approximately the 1930s. Increases in IQ scores are observed by having different age cohorts take different normed versions of an intelligence test. For example, IQ scores are calibrated through standardization procedures using a sample of test takers to represent the general population. When IQ scores are normed, the average of the scores is typically scaled to a mean of 100. Approximately every 10 years, IQ tests are renormed using a younger age cohort to represent the general population. This younger age cohort typically scores higher, on average, on older versions of intelligence test batteries.

The Flynn effect has been observed across different intelligence test batteries (e.g., Raven’s Progressive Matrices, Stanford–Binet, Wechsler), with the most robust gains seen in tests of abstract reasoning such as the Raven’s Matrices or Wechsler Similarities tests. The Raven’s test is a measure of fluid reasoning, whereas the Similarities test is a measure of verbal reasoning and logical classification (e.g., “How are two things alike?”). After reviewing evidence supporting the Flynn effect, this entry examines why the Flynn effect happens and considers the implications of the phenomenon.

Evidence for the Flynn Effect

There is a lot of documented evidence to support the increasing trend in IQ scores both in industrialized and third-world countries. For example, the United States had a gain of 14 IQ points from 1932 to 1978, Estonia had a 12-point gain from 1933 to 2006, Japan had a 19-point gain from 1940 to 1965, and Argentina had a 21-point gain from 1964 to 1998. IQ gains have been robust across intelligence test batteries, ages, and ability levels. Although IQ gains have been found with an overall positive trend line, the rate in gains has varied by country, time period, and test type (e.g., scholastic vs. nonscholastic). Furthermore, the magnitude of gains has varied; and in some cases, the Flynn effect phenomenon has tapered off in a few developed nations, narrowing the gap in national IQ score differences between countries.

Why the Flynn Effect Happens

Numerous hypotheses have been advanced to explain the phenomenon of IQ score increases observed over time. Some explanations include improved nutrition, better education, greater environmental complexity, or even increases in test-taking skills. However, one drawback to the improvement in test-taking skills hypothesis is that those subtests most affected by improvements demonstrate the smallest gains. Researchers have noted that IQ score gains have occurred within too small of a time frame for genetic selection to be the cause. Another potential cause of IQ score gains over time may simply be due to artifacts of measurement differences. When comparing IQ test scores across different age cohorts, the measurement of the intended construct may vary by cohort, an issue of measurement invariance. In fact, researchers have found support to suggest that differences in measurement, not differences in true IQ, have explained the Flynn effect. Further, tests based on classical test theory versus item response theory may inhibit our understanding of gains in IQ scores. Specifically, tests based on classical test theory could show score differences in different normed versions of tests, but the differences are confounded by the fact that the difference may be due to a decreased level of difficulty in the test items, not a difference in true gains or in raw intelligence. This issue is typically resolved through the use of item response theory, as item properties can be taken into account. In general, researchers postulate that it may be some combination of factors at different times that have explained increases in IQ scores.

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