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Distributions

A probability distribution provides probabilities for all possible values of a (random) variable. For example, if the variable X is gender, the probabilities might be 0.5 for X = male and 0.5 for X = female. This assignment can be represented in a graphical illustration or in a mathematical formula. There are two types of distributions: discrete and continuous. Whether the distribution is discrete or continuous depends on the random variable.

Random Variables

Technically speaking, a probability distribution is a representation of the probabilities of all possible outcomes of a random phenomenon. A random phenomenon can be an experiment or a measurement, for example. In this entry, the example of a random phenomenon will be to flip a coin twice and record each flip. The set of all possible outcomes of the random phenomenon is called the sample space. Flipping a coin twice yields the following sample space: S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}, where H stands for head and T for tail. Dependent on the information of the data one is interested in, a random variable assigns a number to each outcome of the sample space. For example, if we are interested in the number of heads in this random phenomenon, we get a random variable that has a 2 for the outcome in which we observe HH, a 1 for both outcomes HT and TH, and a 0 for TT. Another example for a random variable could be to record if the first flip is a head (1) or not (0). Then we would assign a 1 to the outcome HH and HT and a 0 to TH and TT.

If a random variable is discrete, any outcome can have a natural number assigned to it. No further number can be added between these two. For example, a random variable that indicates how many items of an exam were answered correctly is discrete.

A random variable is called continuous whenever there are theoretically an infinite number of values between any two values. Therefore, it is not possible to assign a natural number to any possible outcome. Here, decimal numbers are used. One example of a continuous random variable would be if the time a person takes to complete an exam was measured.

In the coin flipping experiment, the random variables are discrete. One example for a continuous random variable for this example would be the amount of time it takes to flip a coin until head appears once.

X can be used to represent the random variable, while x represents a particular value of the variable.

Discrete Probability Distributions

If X is a discrete random variable, each value x has a specific probability P(X = x) = p(x). Probabilities are always indicated in numbers between 0 and 1 with 1 being the certain outcome. Formally, discrete probability distributions are described by probability functions. These functions are formulas that assign a probability to each single outcome of a discrete random variable. The sum of all probabilities of all single events of one random variable is 1. It describes the probability that any of the possible outcomes of the random variable is observed and this probability is 1. For the random variable number of heads flipping a coin twice, we get the following probabilities: P(X = 0) = 1/4, P(X = 1) = 1/2, and P(X = 2) = 1/4, and the probability distribution takes the form shown in Figure 1.

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