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Diagnostic Classification Models

The term diagnostic classification models (DCMs) refers to a family of psychometric models that are used in education to provide statistically driven classification of examinees according to mastery levels of a predefined set of knowledge components, skills, or abilities. The knowledge components, skills, or abilities are typically called attributes. Attributes comprise the construct of interest for a diagnostic assessment—they are the latent variables that the assessment is designed to measure. The distinguishing feature of DCMs from other latent variable models—for example, item response theory or factor analysis—is that the latent attributes are assumed to have a categorical distribution instead of a continuous distribution. As a result, DCMs classify examinees into groups instead of scaling examinees along a continuum. This entry describes the theoretical underpinnings of DCMs and explains the statistical model form of the general family of DCMs. The entry concludes with a discussion of the utility of DCMs to support both educational assessments and educational research.

Statistical Foundations of DCMs

The categorical attributes in diagnostic assessments commonly are assumed to be binary and follow a Bernoulli distribution, though they could have more than two levels and follow a categorical distribution. This entry focuses on DCMs for binary attributes and uses mastery and nonmastery as the labels for the two levels of an attribute. In practice, the appropriate labels for attribute levels depend on the context and purpose of the assessment. Examples of other labels include on-track versus needs improvement and proficient versus emerging.

For a diagnostic assessment that measures A binary attributes, there are 2A combinations of attribute mastery levels. Each combination represents a unique attribute pattern, or latent class, into which examinees can be classified. The attribute patterns, additionally known as attribute profiles, are denoted by αc=[αc1αc2…αcA], where c ∈ {1,2, …,2A}; αca = 1 if attribute a is mastered in profile c and αca = 0 if attribute a is not mastered in profile c. As an example, with three attributes, there are 23 or 8 possible attribute profiles: [000], [001], [010], [011], [100], [101], [110], and [111].

DCMs as Confirmatory Latent Class Models

The attributes are operationalized, or thoroughly defined, as part of designing a diagnostic assessment; thus, the latent classes into which examinees will be classified are defined prior to analyses of response data collected from the diagnostic assessment. This feature of DCMs make them a special case of a larger family of models known as latent class models: DCMs are confirmatory latent class models because the number and the nature of the latent classes are hypothesized and specified prior to analyses.

The general latent class model defines the probability of a scored item response vector (denoted xe) for a given examinee e as a function of the attribute profile c of the examinee (αe = αc) as:

P(Xe=xe)=c=12Aυci=1Iπi|αexei(1πi|αe)1xei.

This equation has two main components: the structural component, which describes the relationships and distributions of the attributes, and the measurement component, which specifies the relationships between the attributes and items. The structural parameter υc represents the proportion of examinees who are members of latent class c. Because the classes, defined by attribute patterns, are exhaustive and mutually exclusive, these proportions sum to 1 (c=12Aϑc=1). The structural model is commonly parameterized by using a log-linear model where attributes are predictors of the class proportions or by specifying a higher order structure where attributes are predictors of one or more higher order continuous factors. Using either method, marginal proportions, or base rates, of mastery for individual attributes, as well as correlations of attribute pairs, can be derived.

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