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Theory-driven evaluation (or program theory—driven evaluation) is a contextual or holistic assessment of a program based on the conceptual framework of program theory. The purpose of theory-driven evaluation is to provide information on not only the performance or merit of a program but on how and why the program achieves such a result. Program theory is a set of implicit or explicit assumptions of how the program should be organized and why the program is expected to work. The nature of program theory and its conceptual framework are discussed on pages 340 to 342 in the encyclopedia. When looking into the crucial assumptions underlying a program, evaluators should consider that theory-driven evaluation provides insightful information that assists stakeholders in understanding those components of their program that work well and those that do not. Theory-driven evaluation is particularly useful when stakeholders want an evaluation to serve both accountability and program improvement needs.

GENERAL TYPES OF THEORY-DRIVEN EVALUATIONS

The conceptual framework of program theory is presented elsewhere (see the Program Theory entry). Different models of theory-driven evaluations can be constructed depending on which part of the conceptual framework of program theory the evaluation is focused (Chen, 2004). The types of theory-driven evaluations that have been commonly applied are theory-driven process evaluation, intervening mechanism evaluation, moderating mechanism evaluation, and integrative process/outcome evaluation.

Theory-Driven Process Evaluation

Theory-driven process evaluation focuses on assessing the portion of action model implementation in the conceptual framework (see the Program Theory entry). More specifically, theory-driven process evaluation is a holistic assessment of the congruency between the major components of program theory, especially the portion of the action model, and their actual implementation.

An example illustrating theory-driven process evaluation is an evaluation of a large anti-drug abuse program for middle school students in Taiwan (Chen, 1997). The program asked school teachers to identify drug-abusing students and provide them with counseling services. The congruency between the action model of the program and actual implementation is illustrated in Table 1.

Intervening Mechanism Evaluation

The model of intervening mechanism evaluation focuses on the change model of the conceptual framework of program theory. The change model consists of three components: intervention, determinants, and outcomes. The model of intervening mechanism evaluation is illustrated in Figure 1.

Using the evaluation of a school-based anti-smoking program (Chen, Quane, Garland, & Marcin, 1988) as an example, program designers devised a comic book with an anti-smoking story as an intervention for changing students' attitudes and behaviors regarding smoking. The determinants were the students' interest in reading and keeping the comic book. The evaluation assessed not only whether keeping the comic book affected the number of times the comic book was read but also whether the number of times the book was read affected students' smoking related attitudes and behavior.

Figure 1 is a basic model of intervening mechanism evaluation. The model can be expanded to include multiple determinants in sequential order. To date, the intervening mechanism evaluation is the most popular type of theory-driven evaluation in terms of application.

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